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< bn: brr- b; -b--- rnrn; rn: ; rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; ;">Although, as can be seen from the above chart, all members agreed to raise interest rates by 1 basis points in 2018. However, in 2018, The differences are still very obvious. Only one member believes that interest rates next year will be higher than .%, while 2 members still say that interest rates will still be lower than .%.
< bn: brr-b; -b-- - rnrn; rn: ; rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; ;">Furthermore, the Fed's files are not ideal either. When raising interest rates in 2018, the Federal Reserve said it would raise interest rates 10 times this year, but in the end we only saw 2 times. Today, the market is still dubious about the number of interest rate hikes next year.
< bn: brr-b; -b--- rnrn; rn: ; rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; ;">In addition, in the long run, most members believe that until entering the year , the federal funds rate will not exceed %, and the most hawkish prediction is only .%, so what does this mean? Zero Hedge believes that regardless of whether the market is still debating the Fed's hawkish and dovish attitude, anyway, years ago The glorious moment will no longer appear.
< bn: brr-b; -b--- rnrn; rn: ; rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; ;">After a long With a monetary policy close to zero interest rates, the economy has not seen much improvement. After all, the market has experienced higher interest rates before. Moreover, in that era, investors could get the returns they deserve from their deposits very directly. However, even if the interest rate hike cycle has now begun, the days of the past seem to be gone forever.
< bn: brr-b; -b--- rnrn; rn: ; rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; ;">Of course, today's committee members will definitely remember the glorious moment at that time, so , the famous foreign financial website Zero Hedge believes that members of the committee should expect that interest rates will return to normal at some point in the future. However, the confidence conveyed by the dot plot is exactly the opposite. The following figure is the official dot plot, each point One member represents all members. The members include Federal Reserve officials and regional Fed presidents. All members have expressed their opinions, including members who do not have voting rights this year. And if the two vacant members are filled, there should be a Point.
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