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rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb , ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; -n: ;">China's crude oil import demand. In the first half of the year, China's crude oil import volume suddenly increased The surge is due to the surge in non-traditional demand for crude oil driven by strategic reserves and commercial reserve needs (including local refining). Considering that China often completes projects ahead of schedule, it is not ruled out that domestic crude oil storage tanks under construction will be completed ahead of schedule on a large scale , thus triggering an increase in imported crude oil driven by filling storage tanks.
rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; -n: ;">The resumption of shale oil production in the United States. If we look at the situation in 2018, at an average price of less than US$/barrel, U.S. shale oil (mainly in the Permian production areas) has reduced its original production of about 10,000 barrels/day in less than a month. level. Currently, U.S. shale oil companies are conducting large-scale hedging transactions under the US dollar oil price, and the crude oil premium curve has been reduced to a discount in the medium term. At the same time, the number of drilling rigs in the Permian production area continues to rise, which indicates that the U.S. Permian shale oil has the ability to grow beyond expectations. It should be mentioned in particular that unlike the current situation where debt financing in the U.S. oil and gas capital market is very difficult, the amount of equity financing successfully carried out by companies related to the Permian shale oil production area in 2016 was close to the sum of the previous two years. Therefore, it cannot be ruled out that U.S. shale oil production will grow more than expected, led by the Permian production area, thus suppressing oil prices.
rb(, , ); n-: 'r ', 'r ', --, B<>nn, ' ', Rb, ' N', , r, 'nn ', 'rn n B', 'rnn N', nr; ; n-: ; -n: ;">The recovery of crude oil supply in Nigeria and Libya. At present, both Nigeria and Libya have exemptions from production cuts, and according to the two According to the official caliber of each country, their annual resumption of production may be close to 10,000 barrels per day of production reduction. If the supply of these two countries can be restored to the official target, it will be relatively negative for oil prices. However, the current domestic political situation of these two countries is There is the possibility of a sudden change, especially as Nigeria's rebels often fall out whenever they want, and blow up Nigeria's crude oil export facilities as soon as they fall out, causing sudden interruptions in the country's crude oil supply. For example, Nigeria's crude oil export facilities continued to be damaged in years, months, and months. The bombing caused a short-term sudden supply interruption of nearly one million barrels, which greatly raised oil prices.
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